Indo-Pacific Views of U.S.- and China-Led Trade and Investment Disadvantage Chinese Companies
Key Takeaways
Adults in major Indo-Pacific markets view U.S.-led investment more favorably than Chinese-led investment.
Views of China are somewhat more favorable when it comes to trade.
But in all markets except Singapore, respondents were more likely to say that trade with the United States helps their country than they were to say the same about trade with China.
These dynamics suggest U.S. companies are better positioned for Indo-Pacific market entry and sales opportunities than their Chinese peers, even as key regional partners remain pessimistic on the Biden administration’s Indo-Pacific Economic Framework.
Pluralities of adults in six major Indo-Pacific markets think investment from U.S. companies is a net benefit for their economies. By contrast, in only three countries (India, Indonesia and Singapore) do pluralities of adults hold the same views about investment from Chinese companies. In the remaining three (Australia, Japan and South Korea), pluralities of adults think Chinese investment does more harm than good or are unsure.
Adults in Major Indo-Pacific Markets View U.S.-Led Investment More Favorably Than Chinese-Led Investment
Views of China are somewhat more favorable when it comes to trade: In most cases, larger shares of adults think more trade with China is a net benefit relative to those holding the same views on Chinese investment. But in all markets except Singapore, respondents were more likely to say that trade with the United States helps their country than they were to say the same about trade with China.
Adults in Most Indo-Pacific Markets Also Favor Trade With the United States Over Trade With China
These dynamics suggest U.S. companies are better positioned for Indo-Pacific market entry and sales opportunities than their Chinese peers, even as key regional partners remain pessimistic on the Biden administration’s Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, which is expected to be unveiled shortly. By extension, Chinese multinationals doing business in the region risk remaining at a relative disadvantage even if the framework makes little headway in the coming months.
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Jason I. McMann leads geopolitical risk analysis at Morning Consult. He leverages the company’s high-frequency survey data to advise clients on how to integrate geopolitical risk into their decision-making. Jason previously served as head of analytics at GeoQuant (now part of Fitch Solutions). He holds a Ph.D. from Princeton University’s Politics Department. Follow him on Twitter @jimcmann. Interested in connecting with Jason to discuss his analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].