Global Politics
Global Political Risk Outlook, H1 2024
Report summary
Morning Consult’s Global Political Risk Outlook series provides comprehensive, data-driven assessments of public attitudes toward key political and policy issues, and related risks and opportunities, across 18 of the world’s largest markets.
Corporate decision-makers, risk management and financial services professionals, and public sector entities rely on this report series to understand how public sentiment is trending across critical policy areas and make business, investment and public sector decisions accordingly.
Key issues covered include:
- Trends in public views of democracy amid bearish global economic sentiment, and related implications for government stability
- Political knock-on effects arising from the broken social contract between labor and government
- Political implications of rising anti-immigration sentiment globally, and in Europe for far-right parties specifically
- Trends in global business and regulatory climate sentiment, focused specifically on taxation and antitrust
Data Downloads
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Methodology
This report relies on data collected through Morning Consult’s proprietary survey research capabilities. Data comes from monthly surveys conducted among representative samples of roughly 1,000 adults per country, with unweighted margins of error of +/-3 percentage points. All interviews are conducted online. Surveys field during the second half of the indicated month.
Data is weighted to approximate representative samples of adults in each country surveyed. Weighting parameters vary by country.
Consult our Global Political Intelligence Methodology Primer for additional details on sampling and data collection procedures, weighting and representativeness, margins of error, and question wording.
About the authors
Jason I. McMann leads geopolitical risk analysis at Morning Consult. He leverages the company’s high-frequency survey data to advise clients on how to integrate geopolitical risk into their decision-making. Jason previously served as head of analytics at GeoQuant (now part of Fitch Solutions). He holds a Ph.D. from Princeton University’s Politics Department. Follow him on Twitter @jimcmann. Interested in connecting with Jason to discuss his analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].
Sonnet Frisbie is the deputy head of political intelligence and leads Morning Consult’s geopolitical risk offering for Europe, the Middle East and Africa. Prior to joining Morning Consult, Sonnet spent over a decade at the U.S. State Department specializing in issues at the intersection of economics, commerce and political risk in Iraq, Central Europe and sub-Saharan Africa. She holds an MPP from the University of Chicago.
Follow her on Twitter @sonnetfrisbie. Interested in connecting with Sonnet to discuss her analysis or for a media engagement or speaking opportunity? Email [email protected].
